Where does Amed Rosario fit in the Cleveland Indians’ plans beyond this season?
CLEVELAND, OH - AUGUST 21: Cleveland Indians shortstop Amed Rosario (1) rounds third base as he attempts to score from first base on a double during the first inning of the Major League Baseball game between the Los Angeles Angels and Cleveland Indians on August 21, 2021, at Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
By Zack Meisel Aug 25, 2021 49
CLEVELAND — One minute, Amed Rosario was swinging a table tennis racquet. The next, he was trading barbs with Franmil Reyes, accusing the burly slugger of cheating at cornhole, even though both players were standing behind their wooden boards.
He played ladder toss, then entered the fray on the Wiffle ball field, serving as catcher, umpire and even call-disputing manager. He walked across the Little League complex and sparked laughter with his bellyflop at the top of the cardboard box sledding hill.
Rosario was involved in every activity on Sunday afternoon. And later that evening, he was the catalyst for Cleveland’s offense, the way he has been all month.
Rosario slugged a two-run homer in the first inning to provide Cal Quantrill with more backing than he needed as the Indians capped their sweep of the Angels with a victory in the Little League Classic. Rosario has recorded one of the league’s most productive Augusts at the plate and has rated as one of Cleveland’s best hitters this season, not that there’s a ton of competition for that title. He and Myles Straw have formed a potent (and speedy) duo atop DeMarlo Hale’s batting order since Straw’s arrival at the trade deadline.
And yet, it’s quite difficult and puzzling to try to pinpoint how or where Rosario fits on Cleveland’s roster next season and beyond.
Rosario has two years of arbitration eligibility remaining. He’s earning $2.4 million this season. That salary figure will increase in 2022.
He has registered a .289/.331/.421 slash line, but because of a low walk rate and a lack of power, his .753 OPS sits just 3 points above league average. He does lead the American League with six triples. His walk rate and chase rate both rank in the ninth percentile in the league. His strikeout rate, however, is above average. Rosario has also stolen 12 bases in 12 attempts, and he ranks in the 98th percentile in sprint speed.
As has been the case for much of his career, Rosario has fared much better against left-handed pitching.
Rosario vs. RHP in 2021: .264/.302/.368 slash line
Rosario vs. LHP in 2021: .338/.387/.523 slash line
He has thrived with runners in scoring position.
Rosario with runners in scoring position: .327/.361/.510 slash line
Rosario since switching to shortstop full time: .312/.349/.446 slash line
Rosario is only 25. He was once a top-five prospect in the sport. Could he develop more?
He probably shouldn’t play shortstop on a daily basis. He has recorded minus-9 defensive runs saved at shortstop and minus-2 in center field, per FanGraphs. Only two players in the league have fared worse. Statcast’s Outs Above Average metric places him in the 17th percentile, defensively, in the league.
So what should the Indians do with Rosario? There seem to be four options.
What about just keeping him at shortstop?
Should they just suck it up defensively and keep him at shortstop until another player forces his way into the equation? These sorts of decisions often get worked out on their own — someone suffers an injury or thrives at a level that demands attention — but it’s a convoluted situation. The team is attempting to learn about Andrés Giménez, Owen Miller and Ernie Clement at the moment. Gabriel Arias is next in line. Tyler Freeman isn’t too far behind him. Brayan Rocchio, like Freeman, has advanced to Double-A Akron.
No one has accomplished enough to unseat Rosario at this point. But there’s a long list of well-regarded middle-infield prospects awaiting a turn, and several — Giménez and Arias, for starters — are considered more equipped to handle shortstop. The question is, will any of these candidates excel at the plate? That would make this decision much simpler. So far, Rosario is the only middle infielder of the bunch who has.
What about a super-utility role?
Think Mike Aviles, but with a much more capable bat and much smaller calf muscles.
Here’s the thing about a super-utility role: It’s great for when a team has established regulars at each position. Assigning Rosario to a super-sub role without having any idea who deserves to fill the starting roles, however, seems like a backward strategy. This would be more sensible if, say, Arias and/or Giménez emerged next spring as everyday players.
What about a trade?
In a general sense, Rosario has probably enhanced his trade value this season. When the Indians acquired him in the Francisco Lindor/Carlos Carrasco trade in January, he was coming off an abysmal 2020 season, one that he implored evaluators to ignore. He insisted that his 2019 campaign, in which he posted a .755 OPS and tallied 15 home runs, 30 doubles, seven triples and 19 stolen bases, more accurately reflected his skill set. And, well, he has duplicated that season.
Rosario in 2019: .287/.323/.432 slash line
Rosario in 2021: .289/.331/.421 slash line
But would he prove more valuable to another team than he is to Cleveland? It would likely require a club desperate for a shortstop. At least one team expressed lukewarm interest at the trade deadline. The issue is, Carlos Correa, Marcus Semien, Javier Báez, Corey Seager and Trevor Story will all be free agents after the season. Is there a team that would prefer to trade rather than spend to satisfy that need?
From Cleveland’s perspective, why trade one of the few competent bats in your lineup, unless you’re obtaining another MLB-ready player in return? It wouldn’t make much sense to dump Rosario for a prospect, given the team’s intent to contend next season. Selling high on Rosario wouldn’t be impossible, but it seems tricky to make it worthwhile for both sides.
What about a new position?
Could Rosario learn a new position like he did this spring? The team gave him only a couple of weeks to learn center field. That experiment didn’t last long. Surely, he could handle second base or left field if he had all winter and spring to prepare, right? Rosario lives about 20 minutes from the team’s complex in the Dominican Republic, and he has demonstrated a willingness to learn to play wherever the club requests. Is his offensive profile as valuable when he’s not playing a premium position, though?
No matter where Rosario winds up, Cleveland’s front office still needs to add some thump to the lineup this winter.